Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction and Pick, Week 7

Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction and Pick, Week 7

Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction and Pick, Week 7. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.

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Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction: Washington Trends

  • Washington has a winning record of 10-4 in its last 14 games.
  • The over/under record for Washington’s last eight games versus Dallas is 1-7.
  • After eight games against Dallas, Washington has a record of 2-6 on the road.
  • Six out of Washington’s previous nine games played away from home have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • When playing on the road versus Dallas, Washington has a record of 1-7 against the spread in its last eight games.
  • In its last five games against opponents from the National Football Conference, Washington has a five-game overall record of 1-4 against the spread.
  • Eight of Washington’s last twelve games against opponents from the National Football Conference East division have resulted in the total coming in higher than the point spread.
  • In its previous six games played in the month of October, Washington has a winning record of 4-2 against the spread.

Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction: Dallas Trends

  • Each of Dallas’ most recent five games has resulted in the total going over.
  • In 13 of Dallas’ most recent 19 games versus Washington, the total has been higher than the point spread.
  • Nine of Dallas’ past twelve games played at home have resulted in the total going over.
  • In the last eight games that Dallas has played at home against Washington, the team has a 7-1 overall record.
  • There have been eight out of the eleven games that Dallas has played against an opponent in the National Football Conference that have ended with the total going over.
  • Over the course of its last six games against teams from the National Football Conference East division, Dallas has a record of 4-2 against the spread.
  • In its last 18 games played in the month of October, Dallas has a winning percentage of 13-5.
  • In its last ten games played in week 7, Dallas has a winning percentage of 7-3.

Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction

Now we have the Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction for both teams.

The NFC East rivalry between the Washington Commanders and Dallas Cowboys always brings fireworks, and Week 7 promises to continue that tradition. Washington has quietly been one of the league’s most underrated road teams, but this matchup poses a real challenge considering their track record in Dallas. Despite holding a 10-4 record in their last 14 overall games, the Commanders have gone just 1-7 against the spread in their previous eight trips to Dallas, which speaks volumes about how tough it is to win — or even cover — at AT&T Stadium. Washington’s offense has found its rhythm in the run game, ranking first in the NFL with 156.4 rushing yards per game and averaging a league-best 5.88 yards per carry, which will be crucial against a Cowboys defense that’s struggled mightily to stop the run, giving up 142.2 yards per game. However, the Commanders’ inability to sustain drives and dominate time of possession could become an issue, as they rank near the bottom of the league in offensive plays and time on the field.

For the Dallas Cowboys, this matchup represents an opportunity to bounce back from inconsistent play and reassert their dominance in the division. The Cowboys’ offense has been explosive through the air, ranking second in passing yards per game (270.3) and fourth in scoring (29.7 points per game). Dak Prescott and company have been lethal when the passing game gets rolling, with Dallas averaging over 6.0 yards per play, a top-five mark in the league. Historically, this team has performed exceptionally well against Washington, holding a 7-1 record in their last eight home games versus the Commanders and routinely putting up big numbers in those contests. Trends also favor the over, as Dallas games have gone over the total in each of their last five, and 9 of their last 12 at home. The Cowboys’ defensive struggles — particularly allowing the most passing yards per game in the NFL (269.5) — could open the door for Washington to hang around, but their home-field advantage and offensive efficiency make them hard to bet against.

This rivalry always comes with surprises, but the data points toward a shootout leaning in Dallas’ favor. Washington’s run game will help keep things competitive early, yet the Cowboys’ passing attack and red zone execution should eventually take over. Given that Dallas has covered in four of their last six divisional games and Washington continues to falter ATS in NFC matchups, the edge lies with the Cowboys to win and cover at home. Expect a high-scoring affair, but the Cowboys’ offensive firepower should ultimately prove too much for Washington’s defense to contain.

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Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
1/05/25
WAS 23-19
DAL-5.5
U46.5
DAL-225
11/24/24
DAL 34-26
WAS+2.5
O46
WAS+114
1/07/24
DAL 38-10
WAS+3.0
U50
WAS+130
11/23/23
DAL 45-10
DAL-5.5
O44.5
DAL-230
1/08/23
WAS 26-6
WAS+1.0
U39.5
WASEVEN
10/02/22
DAL 25-10
DAL-6.0
U43
DAL-235
12/26/21
DAL 56-14
DAL-5.0
O48
DAL-220
12/12/21
DAL 27-20
WAS-1.5
U47.5
WAS+180
11/26/20
WAS 41-16
DAL-3.0
O46
DAL-149
10/25/20
WAS 25-3
WAS-1.0
U44.5
WAS-109

Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction: Washington Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/13/25
L 25-24
L-4.5
O48.5
L-205
10/05/25
W 27-10
W+1.5
U47.5
W+102
9/28/25
L 34-27
L-3.5
O48.5
L-175
9/21/25
W 41-24
W-7.5
O47.5
W-340
9/11/25
L 27-18
L+1.5
U48.5
LEVEN
9/07/25
W 21-6
W-6.5
U45.5
W-350
1/26/25
L 55-23
L+4.5
O47.5
L+188
1/18/25
W 45-31
W+8.5
O55.5
W+410
1/12/25
W 23-20
W+3.0
U50.5
W+145
1/05/25
W 23-19
W+5.5
U46.5
W+185

Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction: Dallas Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/12/25
L 30-27
L-1.5
O46.5
L-120
10/05/25
W 37-22
W-1.5
O44.5
W-120
9/28/25
W 40-40
W+1.5
O47.5
LEVEN
9/21/25
L 31-14
L+3.0
U47.5
L+130
9/14/25
W 40-37
L-4.5
O44.5
W-185
9/04/25
L 24-20
W+6.5
U46.5
L+250
1/05/25
L 23-19
L-5.5
U46.5
L-225
12/29/24
L 41-7
L+11.5
O47
L+114
12/22/24
W 26-24
W+4.0
O46.5
W-198
12/15/24
W 30-14
W-6.5
P44
W-278

Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction: Washington Offense

Overall

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank DAL Defense
26.80 7 Points Scored 31 30.67
192.60 25 Passing Yards 32 269.50
156.40 1 Rushing Yards 29 142.17
27:19 30 Time on Field 29 32:47
58.00 26 Number of Plays 30 66.67
6.02 6 Yards Per Play 30 6.18

Scoring

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank DAL Defense
26.80 7 Points Scored 31 30.67
2.80 28 First Quarter 30 6.67
8.60 6 Second Quarter 23 7.83
6.00 7 Third Quarter 22 5.00
9.40 6 Fourth Quarter 31 10.67

Passing

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank DAL Defense
192.60 25 Passing Yards 32 269.50
29.20 26 Pass Attempts 23 34.33
17.80 32 Pass Completions 27 24.67
2.20 19 Sacks 24 1.83
12.80 18 Sack Yards 23 17.00
10.82 11 Yards Per Pass 27 10.93

Rushing

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank DAL Defense
156.40 1 Rushing Yards 29 142.17
26.60 18 Rush Attempts 30 30.50
5.88 1 Yards Per Rush 26 4.66

Turn Overs

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank DAL Defense
0.20 4 Interceptions 27 0.33
1.20 24 Fumbles 16 0.83
0.40 16 Fumbles Lost 19 0.33
0.60 7 Total Turnovers 27 0.67
7.40 20 Penalties 2 8.67
54.20 12 Penalty Yards 1 80.33

Drives & Special Teams

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank DAL Defense
27:19 30 Time on Field 29 32:47
58.00 26 Number of Plays 30 66.67
6.02 6 Yards Per Play 30 6.18
3.20 12 Punts 26 3.00
47.51 19 Punt Average 7 45.23
159.60 6 Return Yards 6 106.50

Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction: Dallas Offense

Overall

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank DAL Offense
20.20 9 Points Scored 4 29.67
235.00 23 Passing Yards 2 270.33
117.00 19 Rushing Yards 15 117.17
32:41 28 Time on Field 18 30:32
63.20 23 Number of Plays 7 64.17
5.57 22 Yards Per Play 5 6.04

Scoring

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank DAL Offense
20.20 9 Points Scored 4 29.67
6.00 27 First Quarter 29 2.67
4.80 6 Second Quarter 1 14.00
4.00 12 Third Quarter 16 4.67
5.40 9 Fourth Quarter 14 7.33

Passing

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank DAL Offense
235.00 23 Passing Yards 2 270.33
31.20 15 Pass Attempts 3 39.00
20.00 10 Pass Completions 1 27.83
3.00 6 Sacks 3 1.17
19.40 26 Sack Yards 31 6.00
11.75 32 Yards Per Pass 19 9.71

Rushing

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank DAL Offense
117.00 19 Rushing Yards 15 117.17
29.00 24 Rush Attempts 25 24.00
4.03 12 Yards Per Rush 6 4.88

Turn Overs

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank DAL Offense
0.40 25 Interceptions 18 0.67
0.80 22 Fumbles 12 0.83
0.20 25 Fumbles Lost 11 0.33
0.60 29 Total Turnovers 12 1.00
7.40 14 Penalties 23 8.00
59.20 14 Penalty Yards 26 66.00

Drives & Special Teams

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank DAL Offense
32:41 28 Time on Field 18 30:32
63.20 23 Number of Plays 7 64.17
5.57 22 Yards Per Play 5 6.04
4.00 11 Punts 13 3.33
49.10 23 Punt Average 22 47.07
91.80 2 Return Yards 16 127.67

Our NFL Week 7 Pick: Dallas Cowboys

 

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